Who Will Win Indiana? Five Views Point to Trump, Clinton Victories
Ted Cruz Faces End of the Line in Indiana Primary
Front-runners Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, following resounding wins in New York and several northeastern states over the past two weeks, are creeping ever closer to the magic delegate numbers they need to clinch their parties’ presidential nominations (1,237 for Republicans, 2,383 for Democrats). Indiana, whose primary voters go to the polls on Tuesday, is setting up as a must-win for Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. Here are five credible predictions on who will win.
The research project led by David Rothschild, an economist at Microsoft Research in New York City, that aggregates betting-market data has successfully predicted the winner in 66 of 77 individual state nominating contests it's covered so far this year. As of Sunday PredictWise gave Trump a 90-percent chance of winning in Indiana, up from 69 percent the day before and as low as 31 percent earlier in the month.