Benchmark

Oil at $50 Is Driving Norway to Zero Rates

Western Europe's biggest crude producer may need more than a weak currency to stay afloat

Norway's Solberg: Economic Change Not Due to Oil

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With oil prices still wobbling around $50, Norway is in danger of a recession that could drive its benchmark interest rates, already at a record low, to zero.

That’s what economists at Svenska Handelsbanken AB in Oslo say as they warn that “recessionary risks are significant.” The central bank in September cut rates to 0.75 percent and signaled more than a 50 percent chance for a third reduction since the drop in oil prices accelerated, about a year ago. Handelsbanken sees three cuts next year, bringing the benchmark to zero by the end of 2016.