The Real Math Behind Hillary Clinton's Candidacy

Reconstituting the Obama coalition will be the story of 2016—and it's harder than it looks.

Former Secretary of State and Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton greets supporters at Trident Tech on June 17, 2015 in North Charleston, South Carolina.

Photo by Richard Ellis/Getty Images
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Elections are fundamentally about math, and the most fundamental of the fundamental factors is demographics—the ethnic and racial composition of the electorate.

So far, Hispanic voters have been getting the most attention from the media and from candidates courting them in announcement speeches and at events like NALEO, which Hillary Clinton addressed on Thursday. While those votes will certainly be important in 2016, blacks remain the crucial minority bloc for Democratic candidates.