Scott Dorf, Columnist

The Bond Market's Latest Rally Is No Knee-Jerk Reaction

Unlike many prior squeezes in U.S. Treasuries, there are no signs of wretched excess.

The bond bulls are in charge.

Photographer: Michael Nagle
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Many pundits are describing the latest move in the bond markets as little more than a knee-jerk reaction to rising geopolitical tensions amid a broader risk-off environment. They'd be wrong.

Unlike many previous squeezes in U.S. Treasuries, this latest move -- which has pushed yields on 10-year notes to the lowest of the year -- is important because it came without the usual signs of wretched excess in the form of speculative over-positioning. Although this rally has had its share of momentum players seeking to ride the wave, those types have been bullish for months and did little to exacerbate the move.