Japan Industrial Production, Retail Sales Rise in NovemberBy
Strong external demand fuels pick-up in factory output
Retail sales beat expectations after falling short in October
Industrial production in Japan rose in November, fueled by strong growth in exports. Retail sales rebounded to top expectations.
A yearlong recovery in exports has bolstered industrial output, supporting Japan’s longest economic expansion since the mid-1990s. Yet increasing domestic consumption remains key to the recovery becoming self-sustaining. Retailers are seeing more favorable conditions after bad weather kept Japanese shoppers at home through much of the third quarter, with household spending beating expectations last month.
- "November’s industrial production data weren’t particularly surprising, but some of next year’s forecasts are dropping -- I’d like to take a closer look at the significance of that," said Masaki Kuwahara, senior economist at Nomura Securities Co. "If you look at the numbers as they are, there’s a possibility that production will drop a little at the start of next year."
- "Through the end of this year, the numbers show that the global economy continues to be fairly strong," Kuwahara said.
- "Consumption is strong and I think the recent weakness was due to bad weather," said Yasutoshi Nagai, chief economist at Daiwa Securities Co. "But it’s hard to think the momentum will be maintained while wages are not rising much."
— With assistance by Yuko Takeo, Connor Cislo, and Yoshiaki Nohara