India's Budget Is Seeking the Sweet Spot: QuickTake Q&A
A street food vendor prepares panipuri snacks at a market stall in Ahmedabad, India.
Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/BloombergSome 100 bureaucrats have been locked away in a basement in New Delhi, a single desk phone among them, planning the generation and expenditure of $300 billion. India’s budget day is approaching, and the officials responsible will have huddled in isolation for two weeks by the time Finance Minister Arun Jaitley delivers his Feb. 1 speech. In a process steeped in tradition, the task of guiding India’s economy begins with a sugary Indian dish and culminates in a speech laden with literary references. For all the tradition, there’s a lot that’s different this year.
There’s a new U.S. president making protectionist noises, plus the dramatic clampdown on cash in India. Economists are still gauging the impact of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s November order to remove 86 percent of currency in circulation in a bid to tackle corruption. Then there’s budget day itself, which has been moved forward by about a month to allow businesses more time to prepare for the new financial year, starting April 1. There’s also a break with colonial-era tradition by merging the railway and federal budgets for the first time since 1924 and ditching the post-independence practice of classifying expenditure in Soviet-style five-year plans. Some are speculating about a change in the financial year, though that’s unlikely this time.