Kuroda Seen Succeeding on Curve Where Greenspan Struggled

  • Primary dealers raised yield forecasts after policy revamp
  • BOJ pledged to hold long-term yield at zero, steepen curve

Haruhiko Kuroda, governor of the Bank of Japan.

Photographer: Buddhika Weerasinghe/Bloomberg
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Japan’s primary dealers are backing Haruhiko Kuroda to do what Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke couldn’t -- control long-term bond yields.

Yield forecasts among dealers surveyed by Bloomberg have risen in line with the goals revealed by the Bank of Japan governor on Sept. 21 to pin 10-year sovereign bond yields near zero and steepen the curve. The median estimates among the 13 respondents are for benchmark yields to rise to minus 0.05 percent at year-end, while those on 20-year debt climb to 0.3 percent. In a poll three weeks ago, they projected minus 0.15 percent and 0.23 percent respectively.