The Very Real Risks That OPEC Won’t Cut Crude Oil Production
- Saudis seek collective curbs under ‘Four Pillar’ approach
- Iran and Iraq pose challenge, Russia participation in question
Iran Optimistic About OPEC Output Cut
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OPEC says it’s close to a deal to cut oil output for the first time since 2008, a move that may halt a 2 1/2-year price slump. The actions of individual member states tell a different story. Here’s a look at the prospects for an agreement ahead of OPEC’s November 30 meeting:
The simple math supporting cuts looked solid at OPEC’s meetings in June and December. Prices then were way below most members’ fiscal break-even points. An output cut now of 1.5 million barrels a day, or 5 percent, would need to boost the oil price by only $2.50 a barrel for OPEC nations collectively to be better off. A $5 price increase would boost the value of what they pump by about $100 million a day.