Zimbabwe Military Fractures Amid Ruling Party Splits

Updated on
1473325499_GettyImages-512661624 copy

Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe (C) holds hands with Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa (L) and First Lady Grace Mugabe (R) during celebrations marking his birthday at the Great Zimbabwe monument in Masvingo on February 27, 2016. / AFP / JEKESAI NJIKIZANA (Photo credit should read JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images)

Photographer: Jekesai Njikizana/AFP via Getty Images
  • Older military generation sides with Vice President Mnangagwa
  • President Mugabe’s wife Grace attracts younger supporters

Zimbabwe’s military is fracturing along generational lines in a potentially dangerous turn for the southern African nation as President Robert Mugabe’s ruling party splits over who will succeed him.

With Mugabe approaching his 93rd birthday and Zimbabwe’s economy imploding, some top military leaders are choosing sides in faction fights of the ruling Zimbabwe-African National Union-Patriotic Front, said four members of the party’s politburo who spoke on condition of anonymity. Veterans of the independence war against the white-minority state of Rhodesia mainly back Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa against Mugabe’s wife, Grace, they said.

Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe (C) holds hands with Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa (L) and First Lady Grace Mugabe (R) during celebrations marking his birthday at the Great Zimbabwe monument in Masvingo on February 27, 2016. / AFP / JEKESAI NJIKIZANA (Photo credit should read JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images)

Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe (C) holds hands with Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa (L) and First Lady Grace Mugabe (R) during celebrations marking his birthday at the Great Zimbabwe monument in Masvingo on February 27, 2016. / AFP / JEKESAI NJIKIZANA (Photo credit should read JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images)

Photographer: Jekesai Njikizana/AFP via Getty Images

The splits threaten the cohesion of a military that’s been a pillar of Mugabe’s power base since the armed struggle that led to independence in 1980. With rising protests over an economy that has halved in size since 2000, who senior army commanders support in the ruling party may determine the southern African nation’s next president.

“The generals are involved in a war of generations,” said Alex Magaisa, a U.K.-based law lecturer and one of the authors of Zimbabwe’s 2013 constitution. “The liberation generation wants to hold on to power against the post-liberation generation, which wants to wrest control of the party leadership.”

Faction Fight

General Constantine Chiwenga, the 60-year-old commander of the Zimbabwe Defence Forces, supports Mnangagwa, who’s served in Mugabe’s cabinet since independence. Major General Douglas Nyiakaramba, chief of administration, is backing a faction that has coalesced around Grace Mugabe, the people said.

Army commander General Philip Sibanda, who once led United Nations peacekeeping forces in Angola, has stayed out of the dispute, they said. The three officers weren’t available to comment, a telephone operator, who refused to provide his name, said Wednesday when Bloomberg called army headquarters.

The Zimbabwe National Liberation War Veterans Association, once used to subdue opposition protests and spearhead policies such as the seizure of white-owned commercial farms, criticized Mugabe in July, saying he “presided over untold suffering of the general population for his own personal aggrandizement and that of his cronies.”

Former Vice President Joice Mujuru, who was expelled from Zanu-PF two years ago and now leads the Zimbabwe People First party, still enjoys sympathy among officers. She’s the widow of former defense forces commander Solomon Mujuru, who died in a house fire five years ago. Joice Mujuru says the general, a hero to most Zimbabweans, was assassinated.

Mnangagwa, a 69-year-old former security minister, heads a faction in the ruling party known as Lacoste, taken from the French sportswear firm Lacoste’s logo, a crocodile, Mnangagwa’s nickname. Opposing it is a group known as Generation-40, who are made up of generally younger supporters of 51-year-old Grace Mugabe, who critics call “Gucci Grace” for her allegedly extravagant lifestyle.

Older Leaders

“G-40 is more civilian oriented; the generals look to older party leaders who actually carried guns in the war for the main part,” said Showers Mawowa, a Zimbabwean researcher at the Southern African Liaison Office in Pretoria, the capital of neighboring South Africa. “Zanu-PF has a history of military involvement in politics dating back to the 1970s that has never disappeared.”

Mugabe has faced increased protests in recent months as an unprecedented liquidity crisis has led to civil servants, including military officers and troops, receiving salaries late and some private-sector workers being given goods instead of pay. That sparked a national strike on July 6 that shut down much of Zimbabwe. The country was also hit by riots as taxi operators protested against police harassment.

Freer Atmosphere

“It seems that across the security sector, including the police, there’s less inclination to clamp down on protest,” Mawowa said. “The atmosphere is much more open now, even in the rural areas people aren’t as afraid of Zanu-PF as they were.”

The older generation of officers will probably stick with the Mnangagwa faction because they have seen how Grace’s supporters orchestrated the expulsion of Mujuru, a war veteran, from the ruling party,  Magaisa said.

“The generals are looking to their future; they know they’ll soon leave active duty and must prepare for life after it,” he said. “They’ve also seen how the G-40 approach is built around the erosion of the older war generation.”

— With assistance by Brian Latham

(Corrects spelling of analyst’s first name in first paragraph under Older Leaders subheadline in story that moved Sept. 8.)
Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. LEARN MORE