Hillary Clinton is Pulling Away From Trump on a Crucial Polling Question

The University of Michigan Survey of Consumers has more good news for Clinton.
Photographer: Sean Proctor/Bloomberg
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Democratic Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is extending her lead in a key polling metric that's said to have more predictive power than traditional measures of voter intent.

Respondents to the University of Michigan's monthly survey of consumers showed that the net share of households who expected Clinton to beat Trump in November rose to 39 percentage points in August. That's increased from 27 points in July and 14 in June. Note that the survey isn't asking for a household's preference between one candidate or another, but simply their expectations about who will prevail.