Brexit Vote, Yellen, Zuckerberg Role: Week Ahead June 18-25

  • Speeches, debates mark countdown to U.K. national referendum
  • U.S. home sales, GE does digital, CES comes to New York City

The U.K. votes on membership in the European Union this week, ending a bitter campaign between the “Leave’’ and “Remain’’ camps. Follow the TOPLive blog June 23 for real-time coverage here.

U.S. Fed Chair Janet Yellen testifies to Congress on monetary policy on back-to-back days after the central bank kept interest rates unchanged.

Economic reports due in the coming week probably will show that sales of previously owned homes climbed in May while new-home purchases declined; orders for durable goods are also projected to drop.

Facebook Inc. holds its annual shareholder meeting, while General Electric Co. holds its first digital investors meeting.

ConAgra Foods Inc., FedEx Corp., Bed Bath & Beyond Inc., BlackBerry Ltd. and Accenture Plc to announce earnings.

Drone play at Las Vegas CES
Drone play at Las Vegas CES
Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

This year’s Consumer Electronics Show in New York City will give participants the chance to fly a drone around an obstacle course.

Saturday, June 18

-Malaysia will hold two by-elections after the death of two parliamentarians in a helicopter crash in May. Voting starts at 08:00 local time (20:00 EDT on June 18) and results are expected after 20:00.

-The Council for the United States and Italy holds its annual workshop, with Italian Finance Minister Pier Carlo Padoan, ECB Supervisory Board Member Ignazio Angeloni and Bank of Finland Governor Erkki Liikanen among the scheduled speakers. In Venice.

-Soccer’s 2016 European Championships continue across France in daily matches, with the knockout round beginning June 25. Click here for the schedule.

-Art Basel, the world’s largest modern and contemporary art fair, opens to the public June 16 in Basel, Switzerland, with the work of more than 4,000 artists. Through June 19.

-ECONOMY: China home prices (May).

Sunday, June 19

-German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble speaks on the global economy at the IFW economic research institute. 11:00 in Kiel, Germany (05:00 EDT).

-U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron answers audience questions in a special BBC Television program as he makes the case for staying in the European Union in the June 23 referendum. 18:45 in Milton Keynes, England (13:45 EDT).

-Runoffs for mayoral elections held in Italian cities including Rome, Milan, Naples and Turin, with opposition Five Star Movement expected to win in Rome. Exit polls due 23:00 local time (17:00 EDT).

-The 116th U.S. Open, the second of golf’s four major tournaments in 2016, concludes in Oakmont, Pennsylvania, for a $10 million purse.

ECONOMY: Israel’s 12-month inflation forecast, money supply.

Monday, June 20

-Facebook Inc. investors will vote at their annual shareholders meeting on a proposed new class of stock that will encourage founder and Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg “to remain in an active leadership role.” 11:00 (14:00 EDT) in Santa Clara, Calif. Click here for webcast.

-EU Economic and Financial Affairs Commissioner Pierre Moscovici, European Parliament President Martin Schulz and German Deputy Foreign Minister Michael Roth address town-hall event on Europe’s future. Starts 13:30 in Berlin (07:30 EDT).

-U.K. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn faces audience questions in a Sky News television special to make the case against leaving the EU. 18:00 local time (13:00 EDT).

-Nigeria’s foreign-exchange policy takes effect after the central bank said it would let the naira rate float; it has been held at 197 to 199 per dollar since March 2015.

-Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda speaks at Keio University in Tokyo. Timing to be determined.

-Chinese President Xi Jinping visits Warsaw for discussions on adding flights between Beijing and Poland, nuclear power and other bilateral issues.

-European Bank for Reconstruction and Development sponsors real estate conference for southeast Europe in Belgrade. Through June 22. Click here for agenda.

-The Northern Hemisphere’s summer solstice, the year’s longest day, arrives at 18:34 EDT (23:34 BST).

-U.S. government bond auctions, Fed debt purchases. Click here for the schedule.

-U.S. initial public stock offerings. Click here for the schedule.

-ECONOMY: Taiwan export orders (May), South Korea producer prices (May), Russia unemployment (May), retail sales (May), wages (May).

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: U.S. Department of Agriculture crops data (weekly), ICE weekly commitments of traders report for Brent, gasoil.

Tuesday, June 21

-U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen gives semiannual monetary policy testimony to U.S. Congress, starting with the Senate and continuing Wednesday with the House. Both events start at 10:00 EDT in Washington. Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here. At 16:30, Yellen joins U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew at a meeting of the Financial Stability Oversight Council.

-Bank of Mexico Deputy Governor Manuel Sanchez is scheduled to speak at the JPMorgan Chase & Co. Mexico Opportunities Conference in Mexico City at 08:45 local time (09:45 EDT). Conference ends June 23.

-Bank of England is offering loans to banks to boost liquidity before the U.K. referendum. London at 10:00 (05:00 EDT).

-European Central Bank President Mario Draghi speaks at hearing of European Parliament. In Brussels at 15:00 (09:00 EDT).

-Egyptian court to decide on legality of handing two Red Sea islands to Saudi Arabia. Timing to be determined, in Cairo.

-The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development holds a ministers meeting on the digital economy in Mexico, with speakers including President of Mexico Enrique Pena Nieto. In Cancun through June 23.

-German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, former French President Nicolas Sarkozy and European Union Digital Commissioner Guenther Oettinger are among the speakers at a business conference sponsored by Merkel’s CDU party. Schaeuble and Dijsselbloem on panel starting 13:45 in Berlin (07:45 EDT). Oettinger starts at 16:45 (10:45 EDT), Merkel speaks at about 20:30 (14:30 EDT).

-BBC TV hosts debate among politicians before Thursday’s EU referendum. Event starts 20:00 in London (15:00 EDT).

-Polish parliament swears in central bank Governor Adam Glapinski.

-The Consumer Electronics Show is held in New York City. This year’s event will feature a fly-a-drone obstacle course during conference sessions. Through June 23.

-Platts Moscow Oil Forum to feature discussions of the domestic and international oil markets. Starts at 8:30 local time in Moscow (01:30 EDT).

-CENTRAL BANKS: Interest rate decisions in Turkey, Morocco and Hungary.

-ECONOMY: Brazil IPCA-15 inflation (June), Hong Kong CPI (May), Portugal house price index (1Q), ZEW German investor confidence (June), U.K. public-sector borrowing (May), U.K. factory orders (June), South Africa leading indicator (April), Israel manufacturing production data (April), Ukraine GDP (1Q, final), Ukraine retail sales (May).

-EARNINGS: Lennar Corp., CarMax Inc., Adobe Systems Inc., FedEx Corp.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: American Petroleum Institute inventory report (weekly).

Wednesday, June 22

-Sales of previously owned U.S. homes probably climbed in May as cheap borrowing costs helped keep demand hovering near a more than nine-year high, based on economists’ projections ahead of a National Association of Realtors report. 10:00 EDT in Washington.

-Belgian Prime Minister Charles Michel speaks at dinner hosted by British Chamber of Commerce in Belgium. Event starts 16:30 in Brussels (10:30 EDT).

-Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras speaks at European Parliament. Timing in Strasbourg, France, to be determined.

-Britain’s Channel 4 TV holds the final debate before the U.K.’s EU referendum. 20:00 local time (15:00 EDT).

-Columbia Pipeline Group Inc. shareholders vote in Houston on takeover by TransCanada Corp. Timing to be determined.

-CENTRAL BANKS: Rate decisions in Colombia, Thailand and Mauritius.

-ECONOMY: U.S. MBA mortgage applications (weekly), U.S. FHFA home-price index (April), Canada retail sales (April), Taiwan unemployment rate (May), Euro-area consumer confidence (June), South Africa consumer inflation (May), Ghana GDP (1Q), Ghana producer inflation (May), Turkey consumer confidence (June), Israel’s leading ‘S’ indicator (May), Russia CPI (weekly); Ukraine industrial production (May), Turkey real sector confidence index (May).

-EARNINGS: Bed Bath & Beyond Inc., Red Hat Inc., Hennes & Mauritz AB, Zumtobel Group AG.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Bloomberg survey of analysts’ expectations on natural gas volume (weekly), U.S. EIA weekly Petroleum Status Report. Follow the TOPLive blog for real-time coverage here.

Thursday, June 23

-Britain votes in a referendum on whether to leave the European Union. Polls are open 07:00 local time (02:00 EDT) to 22:00 (17:00). First results about midnight (19:00 EDT), with final results due about 07:00 on Friday (02:00 EDT).

-Purchases of new U.S. homes probably declined in May to a more sustainable pace after surging a month earlier at the fastest rate since 2008, economists forecast the Commerce Department to report. 10:00 EDT in Washington.

-General Electric Co. Chief Financial Officer Jeff Bornstein and Chief Digital Officer Bill Ruh will guide investors through the company’s first Digital Investor Meeting. 07:30 Pacific Time (10:30 EDT) from San Ramon, California.

-Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert S. Kaplan speaks at a Money Marketeers of New York University dinner. 17:30 EDT in New York City.

-Bank of Japan board member Takahide Kiuchi gives a speech in Kanazawa. Timing to be determined.

-Brazil Finance Minister Henrique Meirelles will speak at the conclusion of an industry event on banking technology, with the country’s record budget deficit and economy among the likely topics. 10:00 local time in Sao Paulo (09:00 EDT).

-The U.S. International Trade Commission is scheduled to issue its final decision in the first of two cases Cisco Systems Inc. has filed against Arista Networks Inc. over technology used to build networking equipment. A judge has said Arista infringed three of five Cisco patents, and has recommended an import ban on Arista products made overseas. A decision in 337-944 is expected at 17:00 EDT from Washington.

-CENTRAL BANKS: U.S. Federal Reserve annual bank stress tests Part I. Norway central bank seen keeping benchmark rate at a record low of 0.5 percent; decision at 10:00 (04:OO EDT) in Oslo. Ukraine central bank to decide on rates, with policy makers probably cutting by a half point to 17.5 percent.

-ECONOMY: U.S. jobless claims (weekly), U.S. Bloomberg consumer comfort (weekly), Chicago Fed national activity index (May), U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI (June preliminary), U.S. leading economic indicators (May), Kansas City Fed manufacturing (June),  Euro-area PMIs (June), Mexico bi-weekly CPI (Jun 15), Hong Kong balance of payments (1Q), Taiwan industrial production (May), Singapore CPI (May), Israel unemployment (May) , Poland unemployment (May).

-EARNINGS: BlackBerry Ltd., ConAgra Foods Inc., Accenture Plc.

-ENERGY/COMMODITIES: Bloomberg survey of analysts’ expectations on U.S. natural gas prices (weekly), U.S. Energy Information Administration natural gas inventory report (weekly).

Friday, June 24

-Orders for U.S. durable goods are projected to decline in May, pointing to sluggish manufacturing, based on economists’ forecasts. The Commerce Department reports on the data at 08:30 EDT in Washington.

-Americas Society/Council of the Americas hosts the Argentine Investment Conference, with speakers including Argentina Finance Minister Alfonso Prat-Gay and BlackRock Inc. CEO Laurence Fink. Begins at 09:00 in New York.

-German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s CDU party and its Bavarian ally CSU begin a two-day retreat to try to end policy differences on topics such as taxes and migration ahead of next year’s general election. In Potsdam, timing to be determined.

-People’s Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan delivers a lecture at the International Monetary Fund. IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde gives opening remarks at 10:50, followed by Zhou’s speech at 11:00 and a conversation between the two at 11:30 EDT in Washington.

-Myanmar’s Aung San Suu Kyi, the longtime opposition leader, makes her first visit to military-ruled Thailand following her party’s election victory. Joining her on the trip is President Htin Kyaw.

-Hungarian central bankers Daniel Palotai and Barnabas Virag speak at an economic conference in Budapest. Event starts at 09:00 (03:00 EDT).

-CENTRAL BANKS: Brazil Central Bank publishes Current Account Report (May).

-ECONOMY: Michigan consumer sentiment (June final), Mexico retail sales (April), Taiwan money supply (May), Vietnam CPI (June), Portugal gross domestic product breakdown, Portugal budget (May), Ifo German business confidence (June).

-EARNINGS: Naspers Ltd.

-ENERGY: Baker Hughes U.S. oil-and-gas rig count (weekly), U.S. CFTC futures and options positions for oil and commitments of traders reports (weekly).

-SOVEREIGN RATING UPDATES: Austria (Moody’s), Belgium (Moody’s), Bosnia & Herzegovina (Moody’s), Germany (Moody’s), Greece (Moody’s), Luxembourg (Moody’s).

Saturday, June 25

-Russian President Vladimir Putin is among officials gathering in Beijing for the first annual meeting of the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, through June 26. AIIB President Jin Liqun will hold a briefing. Opening ceremony at 10:00 local time (22:00 EDT on June 24).

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