Yellen Will Meet 2% Inflation Goal Judging by Treasury Yields

  • U.S. yields show traders see 2% inflation over the next year
  • Rising oil removes a factor holding Fed back, Nomura says

Janet Yellen.

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg
Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

The Treasury market is signaling inflation expectations are rising, and one metric shows traders anticipate price increases will reach Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s 2 percent target.

The difference between yields on one-year U.S. government securities and same-maturity Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, a gauge of trader expectations for consumer prices over the life of the debt, climbed to as high as 2.11 percentage points Tuesday. That was the highest in two years.