Brazil Economists See Less Room for Cutting Rates Next Year

  • Analysts boost CPI, cut GDP estimates for 2015 and 2016
  • Estimate for inflation next year nearing top of target range
Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

Brazil analysts forecast that the central bank will have less room for cutting rates next year, as inflation expectations for 2016 rose for the 10th straight week.

Brazil’s benchmark Selic rate will reach 12.63 percent at year-end 2016, up from the previous week’s estimate of 12.50 percent, according to the Oct. 9 central bank survey of about 100 analysts. The economists raised their estimates for 2015 and 2016 inflation to 9.70 percent and 6.05 percent respectively, and cut their growth forecasts to declines of 2.97 percent this year and 1.2 percent next year.