Economics

China Financial Gauge Improves, Offering a Signal for Growth

  • Monetary Conditions Index has presaged past growth upturns
  • This time, downward pressures on growth appear more severe

Is More Stimulus on the Way in China?

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China’s 10-month campaign to relax monetary policy is showing signs of an impact as financial conditions ease, a shift that could help stabilize the nation’s growth rate.

Bloomberg’s China Monetary Conditions Index, a gauge that includes inflation-adjusted interest rates and the exchange rate, improved for a second month in August -- the first back-to-back gain since 2013. Episodes of improvement in the past have tended to presage either an acceleration or a stabilization in economic growth.