India Rate Cut Now a Question of When, Not If, For Rajan

  • Most economists surveyed now predict a 25bps cut by Sept. 30
  • Swaps are pricing in a 25bps reduction by the end of the year

Vehicles sit in traffic at the Begum Bazaar in Hyderabad, India.

Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg
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Both economists and traders are now expecting another India rate cut this year: The debate is centering on whether it will come this month or in December.

Eleven of 21 analysts in a Bloomberg survey published Aug. 25 see the repurchase rate lowered to 7 percent from 7.25 percent by the end of this month, while the rest see no change. In JulyBloomberg Terminal, only five of 25 had predicted a cut this quarter.