Benchmark

This Is What Oil at $40 Means for the U.S. Economy

We surveyed economists to see what a sustained period of cheap oil would do for U.S. growth, inflation and monetary policy

Oil's Race to the Bottom and the Global 'New Normal'

Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

The price of oil has tumbled 58 percent this year to reach a six-year low earlier this week. Even if prices stay at these levels, chances are they won't impact the Federal Reserve's interest-rate plans.

Seventy percent of economists in a Bloomberg News survey said crude oil prices around $40 per barrel for the next three months would have no impact on the Fed. Of the 30 percent that said it would influence the central bank, the respondents were evenly split between whether it would cause a delay in the first interest-rate increase or slow the hiking path.