This Chart Shows That Rig Counts Still Have Farther to Fall

We haven't seen a bottom yet, but the end is in sight

An oil well outside Williston, N.D., on Feb. 11, 2015.

Daniel Acker/Bloomberg
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In a morning note, Morgan Stanley's Ole Slorer and his team said that if history is any guide, rig counts will bottom sometime this summer. The Baker Hughes rig count has dropped 53 percent since October as the decline in oil prices has made production less profitable.

Here's the research from Morgan Stanley: