Three Charts Showing Why the Fed Shrugged at Low Inflation

U.S. policy makers chose to downplay concerns about too-slow price gains
Photographer: Marcos Issa/Bloomberg News
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Here's the biggest news out of the Federal Reserve today: Janet Yellen and her colleagues acknowledged some measures of slowing inflation but didn't panic. An epic collapse in oil prices has dragged down what were already too-low readings on consumer prices, relative to the Fed's target of 2 percent inflation. Those developments didn't convince the Fed to change its tune.

The Fed statement did have some notable additions on inflation. First, Fed officials told us that lower oil prices will support growth because they have "boosted household purchasing power." Second, they blamed the low readings on inflation "largely" on energy prices, instead of "partly," the word they used in December. The Fed policy committee nodded toward the bond market's perception that inflation risk is very low and said "market-based measures of inflation compensation have declined substantially in recent months." They also said they expect inflation to rise "gradually toward 2 percent over the medium term." The time horizon in that phrase is new, and underscores that officials still see low inflation as a temporary issue.