Senior Housing Surplus Seen as Boomers Spur Building Boom
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Real estate developers are betting big on U.S. housing for the elderly, preparing for a surge in demand as the population of senior citizens almost doubles in the next 35 years. They may be building too fast.
A jump in supply is forecast to cut growth in senior-housing net operating income to 1.8 percent in 2015 and 1.4 percent in 2016 from 3.3 percent this year, according to Green Street Advisors Inc. The increase may hurt health-care real estate investment trusts and companies including Brookdale Senior Living Inc., which is buying competitor Emeritus Corp. for about $1.4 billion to become the biggest owner of senior properties, the research firm said.