Referendum Record Points to Scotland No: Chart of the Day
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Scottish nationalists pressing for a Yes to independence in a referendum one month from today can add historical precedent to opinion polls that suggest the campaign to keep the U.K. intact will prevail.
The CHART OF THE DAY shows analysis by Alan Renwick of Reading University of voting patterns in 34 referendums since 1980, on topics from constitutional reform to independence. It shows an average swing of 11.7 percent toward the certainty of the status quo in the month before ballots are cast.