S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Oct. 12.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        68.7      5     10.79     18.20    -20.92
MU    MICRON TECH           63.0     22      5.66      9.23     10.58
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        59.3      9     31.32     49.89    -17.42
TER   TERADYNE INC          53.2     10     13.66     20.92     10.14
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         47.6      8     17.21     25.40    -12.14
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       44.7     26     69.05     99.91      4.09
LSI   LSI CORP              42.7     15      6.45      9.20     15.67
DELL  DELL INC              41.8     24      9.47     13.42    -41.75
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       40.9     18     16.14     22.74     23.06
TSO   TESORO CORP           40.5     10     37.67     52.92     59.10
VLO   VALERO ENERGY         38.3     12     28.30     39.14     37.58
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       35.9      8      5.38      7.31     -2.31
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        35.3      7     28.58     38.67    -33.68
RHI   ROBERT HALF INT       35.1      8     25.53     34.50      9.57
F     FORD MOTOR CO         35.1     12     10.20     13.77     -8.51
AES   AES CORP              34.9      5     10.62     14.32      4.80
JDSU  JDS UNIPHASE          33.9      9     10.37     13.88     -2.96
NVDA  NVIDIA CORP           33.3     25     12.67     16.88    -12.86
NE    NOBLE CORP            33.0     29     35.71     47.50     19.24
APA   APACHE CORP           32.4     24     85.66    113.38     -0.47
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       32.4     18     33.16     43.89    -21.21
CMG   CHIPOTLE MEXICA       32.3     15    289.86    383.47     -7.61
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        31.8     13     40.41     53.27    -30.70
OXY   OCCIDENTAL PETE       31.6     16     82.39    108.44      4.51
WDC   WESTERN DIGITAL       31.2     18     35.94     47.14     27.52
CTXS  CITRIX SYSTEMS        30.1     24     68.11     88.64     10.51
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        29.9      8     19.68     25.56     23.96
MNST  MONSTER BEVERAG       29.8      4     56.26     73.00     20.84
RDC   ROWAN COMPANIE-       29.7     12     32.13     41.68     -0.52
HOG   HARLEY-DAVIDSON       28.8     10     41.79     53.82     19.01
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        28.7     21     33.63     43.29     -3.22
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         28.7     11      8.78     11.30      7.22
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       28.5     11     30.88     39.69        na
UNM   UNUM GROUP            28.5     11     19.77     25.41    -11.15
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       28.4     17     14.35     18.42      2.52
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       28.3     13     42.44     54.46      5.17
HAR   HARMAN INTL           28.2      5     43.05     55.20     31.90
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       28.0     22     61.18     78.33      6.11
MET   METLIFE INC           27.9     15     35.08     44.88     18.16
LRCX  LAM RESEARCH          27.3     11     32.82     41.77    -22.80
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       27.2     20     26.02     33.09    -10.85
FLR   FLUOR CORP            27.1     17     56.58     71.89      6.80
A     AGILENT TECH IN       26.6     11     37.42     47.36     11.73
NTAP  NETAPP INC            26.4     23     29.17     36.87    -24.48
BRCM  BROADCOM CORP-A       26.4     38     32.99     41.69     -8.95
JEC   JACOBS ENGIN GR       26.3     13     40.03     50.57      9.19
KLAC  KLA-TENCOR CORP       26.3     12     45.69     57.71      7.72
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       26.2     19     83.45    105.35      4.83
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       26.0     21     14.47     18.22    -43.74
BBBY  BED BATH &BEYON       25.8     18     61.25     77.05      3.55
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       25.6     21     13.39     16.82    -44.49

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
AN    AUTONATION INC       -16.0      4     46.64     39.17     26.79
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C      -12.0     21      5.74      5.04    142.02
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -9.5      6     82.91     75.00     32.94
HAS   HASBRO INC            -8.7      6     38.81     35.43     12.49
DISCA DISCOVERY COMM-       -8.6     18     60.88     55.62     50.91
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -7.3     11     69.13     64.07     29.63
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -7.1      8     26.56     24.67     61.16
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       -6.8     19     22.05     20.55    -61.15
CVH   COVENTRY HEALTH       -6.4     10     43.49     40.70     49.93
HCBK  HUDSON CITY BNC       -5.7     11      8.04      7.59     44.94
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -5.5      8     31.22     29.50     23.97
CVC   CABLEVISION SY-       -5.4     16     17.04     16.13      1.50
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -4.2     10     93.59     89.69     27.35
AIZ   ASSURANT INC          -4.0      6     39.58     38.00     11.22
WMB   WILLIAMS COS IN       -3.3      7     35.51     34.33     71.35
PCS   METROPCS COMMUN       -2.8     16     11.67     11.34     39.90
DGX   QUEST DIAGNOSTI       -2.3     10     63.83     62.33     35.43
HCP   HCP INC               -2.3      8     45.44     44.40     30.36
SCG   SCANA CORP            -2.0      8     48.52     47.56     24.74
DVA   DAVITA INC            -1.8      8    110.29    108.34     71.53
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -1.7     12    149.82    147.31     90.17
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -1.6      6     38.61     38.00     52.79
SNI   SCRIPPS NET-CL        -1.6     15     63.28     62.29     63.16
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -1.3     11     32.76     32.33      4.30
LOW   LOWE’S COS INC        -1.2     19     31.33     30.95     53.31
CBE   COOPER INDS           -1.1      6     73.54     72.71     46.26
ABT   ABBOTT LABS           -1.0     11     69.81     69.08     37.29

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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