Economics

Top Won Forecaster Sees 5.4% Loss as Europe Damps Exports

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South Korea’s won will post its worst quarter in a year as Europe’s financial crisis saps demand for exports, according to Credit Suisse Group AG, the top forecaster.

The currency will fall 5.4 percent to 1,200 per dollar in three months, the weakest level since October, Ray Farris, the Singapore-based head of Asia Pacific fixed-income strategy, said in a July 4 interview. The second-largest Swiss bank had the closest estimates in the last six quarters as measured by Bloomberg Rankings. The projection is more bearish than the 1,170 median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 27 analysts.