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Retailers’ June Sales Little Changed While Luxury Gains

U.S. retailers’ June same-store sales about matched analysts’ estimates, with luxury chains such as Saks Inc. (SKS) and discounters like TJX Cos. (TJX) topping expectations and stores targeting middle-income consumers trailing projections.

Same-store sales at the more than 20 companies tracked by Retail Metrics Inc. rose 0.3 percent, compared with the 1 percent average estimate of analysts surveyed by the research firm. The results follow a 7.2 percent increase last year.

Consumers have been spooked by the unemployment rate staying above 8 percent, sending many to discount chains such as TJX, which posted a 7 percent sales gain. At the same time, luxury consumers have continued to spend with the stock market still up for the year. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Retailing Index gained as the broader index declined.

“The high-end consumer has faired particularly well throughout this recovery,” Ken Perkins, president of Swampscott, Massachusetts-based Retail Metrics, said in an interview. “On the low end, a lot of middle-income consumers have traded down.”

TJX, which owns discount stores T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, beat analysts’ average estimate for a 3.7 percent sales increase. The Framingham, Massachusetts-based company said profit this year may be as much as $2.39 a share, up from a previous forecast for a maximum of $2.37. The shares rose 3.7 percent to $44.09 at the close in New York.

Limited Sales

Same-store sales at Limited Brands Inc. (LTD), the parent company of Victoria’s Secret, gained 7 percent, beating the average estimate of 2.6 percent. Sales at New York-based Saks rose 6 percent, topping the 4.2 percent average estimate.

Columbus, Ohio-based Limited’s shares rose 4.5 percent to $46.12, while Saks gained 2.5 percent to $11.19. The S&P retail index climbed 1 percent. The S&P 500 slid 0.5 percent and has gained 8.7 percent this year.

Sales at Target Corp. (TGT) rose 2.1 percent, falling short of the average projection for a 2.8 percent gain from analysts surveyed by Retail Metrics. Macy’s Inc. (M), the second-biggest U.S. department-store chain, posted a 1.2 percent increase in same- store sales, missing the 2.3 percent estimate.

Macy’s said in a statement today that the “stagnant” economy and reduced spending from tourists hurt sales.

Consumer confidence and other macroeconomic indicators have been falling,” Keith Jelinek, a director in the retail practice at AlixPartners LLP, said in a telephone interview. “This consumer’s psyche says, ‘I’m not going to spend.’”

Target shares fell 1.1 percent to $57.15, and Macy’s rose 2.7 percent to $34.27.

Back-to-School

Most chains count locations open at least a year to tabulate same-store sales. The revenue is a key indicator of a retailer’s growth because new and closed sites are excluded.

June’s results may be a sign that retailers will have to discount more than expected to draw shoppers for the important back-to-school shopping season, Perkins said.

“They have to have a reason to spend,” Perkins said. “If they are given a reason to spend, they do come out and buy.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Kelly Blessing in New York at kblessing@bloomberg.net; Matt Townsend in New York at mtownsend9@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Robin Ajello at rajello@bloomberg.net

Enlarge image Target Corp.

Target Corp.

Target Corp.

Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg

An employee re-stocks baby clothes at a Target Corp. store in the Brooklyn borough of New York.

An employee re-stocks baby clothes at a Target Corp. store in the Brooklyn borough of New York. Photographer: Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg

July 5 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Sheila Dharmarajan reports that Target Corp. and Macy’s Inc. posted June same-store sales that trailed analysts’ estimates as consumer confidence in the U.S. cooled and retailers focused on clearing inventory before the back-to-school shopping season. She speaks on Bloomberg Television's "In The Loop." (Source: Bloomberg)

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Today’s national average mortgage rates. Rates may include points.
Type Today 1 Mo
30 Year Fixed Jumbo 3.99% 3.94%
30 Year Fixed 3.66% 3.52%
15 Year Fixed 2.79% 2.77%
10 Year Fixed 2.89% 2.98%
30 Year Fixed Refi 3.64% 3.51%
15 Year Fixed Refi 2.79% 2.74%
5/1 ARM 2.59% 2.65%
5/1 ARM Refi 2.60% 2.60%
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Today’s average home equity rates nationwide.
Type Today 1 Mo
$30K HELOC 5.34% 5.24%
$50K HELOC 4.56% 4.60%
$75K HELOC 4.57% 4.53%
$100K HELOC 4.27% 4.26%
$30K Home Equity Loan 5.97% 6.07%
$50K Home Equity Loan 6.01% 6.01%
$75K Home Equity Loan 5.97% 5.97%
$100K Home Equity Loan 5.84% 5.84%
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Today’s average savings rates nationwide.
Type Today 1 Mo
5 Year CD 1.23% 1.22%
2 Year CD 0.70% 0.66%
1 Year CD 0.57% 0.52%
MMA $10K+ 0.47% 0.50%
MMA $50K+ 0.69% 0.71%
MMA Savings Jumbo 0.59% 0.60%
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Today’s average auto loan rates nationwide.
Type Today 1 Mo
60 Months Used Car 2.98% 2.94%
48 Months Used Car 2.93% 3.13%
36 Months Used Car 2.89% 2.96%
72 Months New Car 2.43% 2.98%
60 Months New Car 2.54% 2.68%
48 Months New Car 2.45% 2.59%
60 Months Auto Refi 4.15% 4.37%
36 Months Auto Refi 3.61% 3.77%
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Today’s average credit card rates nationwide.
Type Today 1 Mo
Standard Variable 14.12% 14.12%
Standard Fixed 13.23% 13.23%
Gold Variable 12.70% 12.70%
Gold Fixed 11.99% 11.99%
Platinum Variable 15.53% 15.46%
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