Fewer tropical storms than normal will swirl across the Atlantic this year because of the El Nino effect, the U.K.’s Met Office said today.
Seven to 13 tropical storms will develop in the 2012 storm season that runs from June through November, with 10 the most likely outcome, the government weather forecaster said in an e- mailed report. The average from 1980 to 2010 is 12, it said.
“El Nino conditions in the Pacific can hinder the development of tropical storms in the Atlantic, so how this develops will be important for the storm season ahead, particularly from August onwards, which is normally the most active time for tropical storms,” Joanna Camp, a climate scientist at the Met Office, said in the report.
The Atlantic will have an average hurricane season this year, with 12 named storms, AccuWeather Inc. said a month ago. Colorado State University said April 4 that there will be 10-11 storms. WSI Corp., a forecaster serving energy traders, said this hurricane season will be “relatively tame” with 12 named storms, including seven hurricanes.
The Met office prediction of a “quieter tropical storm season” occurred the same day that Hurricane Bud with 85 miles per hour (140 kilometers per hour) winds moved northward off Mexico’s southwest Pacific coast, the National Hurricane Center said, and may approach land tomorrow night.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Lars Paulsson at firstname.lastname@example.org