“We look very actively across Asia,” Chief Executive Officer Joergen Buhl Rasmussen said in an interview in Beijing yesterday. In Europe, “we are assuming a cautious environment, very little growth, probably slight decline,” he said. Beer is “not completely recession proof.”
The beermaker wants to boost investment in China both organically and through acquisitions, Rasmussen said, without disclosing possible targets. The Copenhagen-based company last year increased ownership of its Indian unit, and expanded a partnership with Chongqing Brewery Co. (600132) in western China.
Brewers are looking to emerging economies to drive sales growth as markets in western Europe and the U.S. stagnate, restrained by already-high levels of alcohol consumption, growing competition and tough economic conditions.
Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (ABI), Tsingtao Brewery Co. and China Resources Snow Brewery Co., a joint venture with SABMiller Plc (SAB), may bid for assets of China’s Kingway (124) Brewery Holdings, the Wall Street Journal said last week, citing people familiar with the matter. Rasmussen declined to comment on the report.
The Hong Kong-based company said today it has started talks with “independent third parties” for the possible sale of its business and assets. The company said on Jan. 20 that it would invite third parties to submit proposals for some of its brewery business and assets.
“People are thinking Carlsberg may come in and may want to pay a premium for it,” Jason Yuan, an analyst at UOB Kay Hian in Shanghai who has a “hold” rating on rival Tsingtao, said by phone today. “They’ve been wanting to sell.”
Tsingtao dropped 0.3 percent to HK$40.40 and China Resources Enterprise (291) Ltd. rose 0.2 percent to HK$27.85 in Hong Kong trading.
China’s beer market will grow 6 percent to 7 percent annually over the next two to three years, said Rasmussen, who’s in Beijing to attend the European Union-China summit starting today. Retail beer sales in China, the world’s most populous nation, may have risen to 360 billion yuan ($57 billion) in 2011, according to researcher Euromonitor International.
China Resources Enterprise, the maker of Snow beer with SABMiller, has a 22 percent share of China’s beer market; Tsingtao, part-owned by Asahi Group Holdings Ltd., has 14 percent; and Anheuser-Busch InBev has 12 percent, according to London-based Euromonitor.
Carlsberg, the largest shareholder in Chongqing Brewery with about a 30 percent stake, sells Kronenbourg 1664 and Wusu among other beers in China. It has 1.5 percent of the country’s market, according to Euromonitor.
Carlsberg (CARLB) reduced its annual forecast in August after bad weather and sluggish sales in Russia, where it owns the biggest brewer, along with headwinds from high prices of commodities including malting barley, weighed on profitability. It got almost half its operating profit from eastern Europe in its last fiscal year.
The volume of beer sold in eastern Europe slid 9 percent in the three months ended Sept. 30, the brewer said in November, compared with an 11 percent increase in Asia.
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