“Goldman could benefit from MF Global’s plight,” Bove said in a note today. “One might argue that Goldman is over capitalized and that it has too much liquidity. Buying some or all of MF Global might create the opportunity to make a windfall profit.”
MF Global, run by Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Jon Corzine, is exploring strategic options, including a potential sale, after reporting its biggest quarterly loss ever and having its credit ratings cut by Moody’s Investors Service, a person with knowledge of the matter said today.
The firm needs to generate liquidity and find a partner with excess capital and a “sizable” trading operation, Bove said in a telephone interview. Goldman Sachs, which Corzine helped run from 1994 to 1999, and Citigroup Inc., both based in New York, would be “logical buyers,” he said.
David Wells, a Goldman Sachs spokesman, and Danielle Romero-Apsilos at Citigroup declined to comment.
Large deposit-taking banks may not want to buy MF Global because they would have to set aside cash to back the futures trades placed by the firm’s customers, said Allan Zavarro, the former global head of futures trading for ABN Amro Bank NV. Regulatory capital in the range of 6 percent to 10 percent of client funds on deposit must be set aside by the broker or bank, Zavarro said.
“I’m not sure the big banks would want a big futures position on their books now because they have to allocate regulatory capital to it,” he said in an Oct. 25 telephone interview. As of Aug. 31, MF Global had $7.2 billion of customer funds in segregated accounts, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
In 2008, MF Global sold $300 million in preferred shares and notes to the public and as much as $300 million in equity- linked securities to buyout firm JC Flowers & Co. to help repay a $1.05 billion bridge loan.
Evercore Partners Inc. (EVR), the investment bank founded by former U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Roger Altman, might also show interest in a deal with MF Global, Bove said. The firm is advising MF Global on the review of its business, said a person with knowledge of the matter today. Evercore may be interested in providing advisory clients with the ability to raise funds through a fixed-income trading platform, Bove said.
“It wouldn’t surprise me at all if Evercore jumped up as a company that was going to acquire them,” he said. Such a deal might not resolve MF Global’s liquidity needs, he said.
Evercore would more likely be interested in fee-based, low- capital-intensive businesses, said Warren Gardiner, an analyst for Ticonderoga Securities LLC.
Dana Gorman, a spokesman for Evercore, declined to comment.