Polarized Electorate Suggests Obama Win in 2012: Ramesh Ponnuru

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Aug. 9 (Bloomberg) -- It may be hard to believe today, but inthe summer of 2004 Senator John Kerry’s campaign for presidentlooked formidable.

President George W. Bush’s approval rating had been fallingmore or less continuously since its post-Sept. 11 highs, and wasbelow 50 percent the week of July 26, 2004, when the Democraticconvention was held in Boston. Democratic strategist StanleyGreenberg told a group of liberal activists that week that theAmerican public had made up its mind about Bush, negatively, andthat all Kerry had to do was to establish himself as anacceptable alternative. Many Democrats felt similarly.