Packers to Cover Spread, Says Quant Who’s Been Right Since ’05
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The Green Bay Packers, 2 1/2-point favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Super Bowl, will do better than that, according to an investment manager whose model has predicted the outcome of the past seven National Football League championships.
The study by Analytic Investors LLC in Los Angeles measures the profitability of bets on NFL teams to win each of their regular-season games. The firm has made Super Bowl predictions since 2005 and its model shows that in each championship since 2004, bettors have underestimated the team with the lower regular-season payout. This year, that’s the Packers.