Jonathan Bernstein, Columnist

As Election Day Nears, Here’s What We Know

Predicting this year’s race has been more difficult than usual. But the picture is becoming clearer.

September 15, 2020 at 11:30 AM UTC

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering politics. A former professor of political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio, he wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.

A weird year.
Photographer: Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg

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Since March, I’ve been saying that there was a lot more uncertainty in this year’s presidential race than models based on past elections would detect. With seven weeks until Election Day, that’s becoming less true.