Jonathan Bernstein, Columnist

What’s Really Going on With the CDC’s Virus Model?

A leaked document contains truly dire predictions about the pandemic.

May 5, 2020 at 11:35 AM UTC

Jonathan Bernstein is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering politics. A former professor of political science at the University of Texas at San Antonio, he wrote A Plain Blog About Politics.

A warning?
Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPA/Bloomberg

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According to news reports on Monday, two models of the future path of the coronavirus pandemic have reportedly been circulating within the administration. One was a “cubic” model put together by White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett that predicts deaths from the coronavirus “essentially going to zero by May 15.” Kevin Drum, among others, was dismissive of that idea.