Sinan Ulgen, Columnist

Turkey’s Erdogan Gambles On Idlib

He’s counting on Syria to be spooked by the Turkish military, and hoping Moscow will pick Ankara over Damascus.

Heading for trouble.

Photographer: Aref Tammawi/AFP

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After almost a decade of internal strife and proxy wars, the Syrian crisis is transitioning to a higher threshold of inter-state conflict: Turkey and Syria are on the verge of conventional warfare. The epicenter of this confrontation is Idlib, where the regime of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad is pushing ahead to reassert its territorial control over the northwest of the country.

Its indiscriminate bombing of the civilian population, designed to de-populate this zone, is creating a large wave of internally-displaced people moving towards the Turkish border in fear of their lives. The United Nations puts the number at near 700,000, more than half of them children.