Noah Smith, Columnist

Why Americans Feel So Good About a Mediocre Economy

There's a divergence between "soft" measures of sentiment and "hard" data. Partisan leanings offer an explanation.

A different way of seeing things.

Photographer: Dorann Weber/Getty Images
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A strange thing seems to be happening to the U.S. economy. On surveys, businesspeople and consumers say the future looks bright. But recent economic activity hasn't appeared very robust.

Andrew Ross Sorkin of the New York Times noted this in a recent article about mergers and acquisitions. A number of surveys have been reporting that chief executive officers are highly optimistic. For example, the website Chief Executive and the Wall Street Journal/Vistage Small Business CEO Survey both report a surge in CEO confidence since the 2016 election, while Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey finds an average level of confidence.