Christopher Balding, Columnist

China Can't Quit the Dollar

There's only one exchange rate that really matters.

No one wonders what the yuan is worth against the dirham.

Photographer: Jie Zhao
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China's leaders are hardly disguising their fears about money leaving the country. They've just imposed new disclosure rules limiting how Chinese -- who are allowed to convert up to $50,000 worth of yuan into foreign currency each year -- can spend that money overseas. Simultaneously, they're striving to tamp down worries about the tumbling yuan, which has fallen to an eight-year low against the U.S. dollar. At the end of December, the government added 11 currencies to the basket against which it now values the yuan. While the Chinese currency fell 6.5 percent against the dollar in 2016, its value measured against the broader basket has remained largely stable since July.

The idea, at least in part, is to persuade ordinary Chinese that their nest eggs are safe in renminbi. Unfortunately, this latest effort isn't likely to work any better than earlier ones. The yuan remains inextricably bound to the U.S. dollar -- and everyone knows it.