, Columnist
Prediction Markets Didn't Call Trump's Win, Either
People who won't talk to pollsters probably also don't bet on elections.
We have a winner.
Photographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
There’s a lot of reflection, speculation, and soul-searching about the failure of most public-opinion polls to predict Donald Trump’s election victory. But prediction markets – betting markets whose forecasts are often billed as far superior to polls – didn’t do much better.