, Columnist
Hispanic Turnout Is Key to Clinton’s Fate and GOP’s Future
Polling tells us only so much about a voting bloc with a low participation rate.
Leading indicator.
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How Hispanics vote in November -- and in what numbers -- is a key to the presidential election and to the future of both political parties. Donald Trump’s courtship of the American electorate, after all, began with an attack on Mexicans. His provocations didn’t end there.
If Hispanics, who historically have low rates of voting, fail to turn out, or support Hillary Clinton less enthusiastically than they did Barack Obama, Trump’s offenses will appear to have been forgiven, on the way, ultimately, to being forgotten. If Clinton wins Hispanics in a landslide, however, she will almost certainly be president, and Republicans will be facing a daunting obstacle, potentially for years to come.