Megan McArdle, Columnist

Five Types of Voters, More or Less Loyal to Trump

Some Trump supporters will punish down-ticket Republicans who oppose him. But candidates have to guess: How many?

Watch for fallout lower on the ballot.

Photographer: Sean Gallup/Getty Images
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In Washington on Sunday night, the popcorn was popped, the pitchers of election-themed cocktails given a final stir. And then a hush fell over the city as the streets emptied and the professional political class gathered huddled around screens to find out whether Donald Trump would somehow rescue his improbable campaign, or whether he would pound the final nails into its coffin after a brutal weekend of scandalous recordings and cascading Republican disendorsements.

The consensus going in was that Trump would self-destruct. But he had two saviors: moderators prevented him from rambling and harming himself as much as he otherwise probably would have, and the questions about his appalling remarks came early in the debate. Psychological research suggests that people tend to disproportionately judge events by how they ended.1476121728170