Science

How 'Superforecasters' Think About the Future

Some people intuit better than others. But facets of intuition can be honed and improved.

There are better ways to make predictions.

Photo: Getty Images

When it comes to making forecasts -- whether it’s predicting the outcome of an election or determining whether a marriage will last -- what good is intuition? Can our gut instincts guide us to correct outcomes, or are they too unreliable to be useful in a world ruled by data?

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