What to Expect From the Fed's Minutes
Powerful but not omnipotent.
Photographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergWith the U.S. economy still running below potential and the rest of the world presenting ample challenges to growth, this week's release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's July policy-making meeting should garner a lot of interest among economists and market participants. I see five areas where the minutes can provide insight into how officials perceive the balance of risks and what actions they might take.
All told, I expect the minutes to portray a U.S. economy strong enough to withstand external headwinds, but still struggling to operate at full capacity and regain its longer-term potential. Although the Fed will stick to a cautious, measured and data-dependent approach, admitting that there are still areas of analytical uncertainty, this will not necessarily mean that it will signal inaction.
