Berlusconi May Be Closer to Italian Majority Than Polls Show
- Center-right only 2 percentage points away from majority
- Pollster says right-wing votes are often underestimated
Silvio Berlusconi
Photographer: Alessia Pierdomenico/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
Polls may be downplaying the chances that a center-right coalition backed by former Premier Silvio Berlusconi will win a majority in upcoming Italian elections on March 4.
The so-called “shy-factor” in the polling process, which underestimates voting intentions for right-wing parties, and a new electoral law that favors coalitions, may give Berlusconi’s bloc enough seats to form a government, according to Lorenzo Pregliasco, managing director of Agenzia Quorum, which manages pollster YouTrend.it.