Your Guide to Dutch Elections, a Bellwether to European Populism

  • Freedom Party set to lead in popular vote without taking power
  • Weeks, if not months, of talks needed for multiparty coalition

Geert Wilders.

Photographer: Jasper Juinen/Bloomberg
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In normal times, nobody outside of the Netherlands takes much interest in a Dutch election. Now, a ballot on March 15 -- just as the populist surge sweeps Europe and the U.S. -- has raised the prospect that the Netherlands will be the next domino to fall.

But just how likely is that? Here are six charts that tell you.