The great divide.

The great divide.

Photographer: Prakash Singh/Bloomberg
Andy Mukherjee, Columnist

Why India’s South Rejects Modi — And Why It Matters

The more progressive and successful part of the country is drifting away from the poverty-ridden north and its majoritarian leader.

A child born in Kerala in India’s south has a better chance of surviving to age five than in the US. In Uttar Pradesh in the north, the odds are worse than in Afghanistan.

As India goes to polls in a couple of weeks to elect its next government, pundits’ focus will be on the Hindu nationalist Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s hypnotic sway on the landlocked, impoverished north. The south’s rejection of the leader and his Bharatiya Janata Party, or BJP, will be brushed aside because it may not change the overall outcome. That is a mistake.