Karishma Vaswani, Columnist

Why Rumors About China’s Political Elite Won’t Stop

Speculation about the opaque inner workings of the Politburo has become an obsession.

China’s political elite are notoriously hard to read.

Photographer: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

Any discussion about China’s political elite must begin with an important caveat: Hearsay about the inner workings of the Politburo has a long tradition of being wholly inaccurate. One of the most vivid examples was in 2011, when a Hong Kong television station mistakenly reported the demise of former Chinese president Jiang Zemin — 11 years before his actual death in 2022.

The intrigue over President Xi Jinping’s future is no less speculative. In many ways, it’s the result of a succession crisis of his own making. The lack of an heir or clear plan creates an uncertainty that is grist for the mill.