Justin Fox, Columnist

Who Would Benefit From the GOP’s Tax Bill? HENRYs

The legislation is very good for the group known as high earners, not rich yet.

Under the tax bill, 20% of the benefits would go to those in the top 1% of the income distribution.

Photographer: Timothy A. Clary/AFP/Getty Images

In the weeks before and after the passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in December 2017, Democrats hammered home the talking point that the top 1% of earners would receive 83% of the tax cuts. This was, strictly speaking, true — but not until 2027, after the bill’s provisions related to individual income taxes had expired, leaving only corporate tax cuts that didn’t have expiration dates. Before then, the top 1% received about a quarter of the total cuts.

Now Republicans in Congress are trying to make the soon-to-expire elements of the 2017 tax bill permanent while adding a bunch of new goodies, some of them temporary. As one might imagine, the implications for how the benefits would be distributed are complicated.