Jonathan Bernstein, Columnist

We’re Headed for a Government Shutdown

They only happen when the group with the votes or the leverage to make it happen want one.

Republican Representative Ralph Norman of South Carolina and other members of the House Freedom Caucus.

Photographer: Sarah Silbiger/Bloomberg via Getty Images

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Get ready. We’re headed for a government shutdown, quite possibly a long one, probably beginning on Oct. 1.

Nothing is ever certain, and it takes very little for Congress to avoid a shutdown — just a short bill extending funding after the annual spending bills expire at the end of September. But House Republicans are far too dysfunctional to produce anything like that. Right now they can’t even manage to pass their own version of spending bills, let alone something that the Democratic majority in the Senate would pass and President Joe Biden would sign.