Brooke Sutherland, Columnist

What Recession? Manufacturers Still Plan to Spend Big

Industrial companies like Caterpillar, UPS and Dover appear to be moving full steam ahead on investments even with chatter about a downturn.

Caterpillar is targeting $1.5 billion in capital expenditures this year.

Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

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Manufacturers aren’t oblivious to recession fears, but chief executive officers aren’t worried enough — yet — to slash spending on factory expansions and new equipment.

Caterpillar Inc. expects dealers of its heavy-duty equipment to moderate purchases in 2023 as they work through inventory stockpiles. While sales will still grow this year, that will mostly be a reflection of price increases, the company said Tuesday when it reported fourth-quarter results. There’s no glut, though: Improving supply conditions allowed Caterpillar to push out more shipments to a still-constrained North American construction industry, while more than 70% of the combined year-end inventories for Caterpillar’s mining, energy and transportation businesses are linked to customer orders, executives said. Caterpillar is targeting $1.5 billion in capital expenditures this year, an increase from both 2022 and its pre-pandemic 2019 budget of $1.1 billion for the machinery, energy and transportation businesses.