Big Tech Will Get Back to Real Tech in 2023
Gut wrenching cutbacks will refocus the tech industry on things that go bleep-bleep. Plus a selection of the columnist’s best work in 2022.
Time for tech to get real.
Photographer: Scott Campbell/Getty Images EuropeWhat to Expect in 2023:
The tech bubble has finally popped. Big Tech’s expansion during the pandemic sparked a rush of over-hiring and preposterous valuations among tech startups, leading to a sharp correction at the end of 2022. As reality sets in through this coming year, expect tech firms to cut back on their infamously generous perks and refocus — I’m looking at you, Meta Platforms Inc. — on traditionally reliable business models like advertising and cloud computing. Venture capital investors who help foment the industry’s latest trends will also reprioritize pure tech businesses — think enterprise software and cyber security instead of food delivery and telemedicine. Or, in more practical terms, higher margins over businesses that are capital-intensive and competitive.
Elon Musk’s radical streamlining of Twitter may inspire other social media bosses to go back to their age-old argument about being “tech firms” first and foremost, and tempt them to emphasize artificial intelligence development and engineering over policy work. That would be a mistake, as two major new laws from the European Union are coming down the pipe1 which will dictate how those companies should oversee content and data on their sites, and how they interact with competitors. One high-tech field probably won’t get much traction, though: the metaverse.
