With a week remaining before the midterms, the polls say that Republicans are very likely to win a solid but not huge majority in the House. The Senate remains a toss-up.
For all the attention their errors receive, pollsters really do excellent work and make valuable contributions to democracy. We know a lot more about what our fellow citizens think about policy and politics because of systematic measurement of public opinion; it’s far better than relying on focus groups or (just) shoeleather reporting, even though the latter can add useful insights. And, yes, horse-race polls give us good estimates for the question many of us have: Who will win?