, Columnist
America, China, Russia and the Avalanche of History
The world doesn’t move in cycles or with a grand design. Echoes of the 1970s remind us that one disaster often begets others.
About to get buried by the past?
Photographer: Vyacheslav Oseledko/AFP/Getty Images
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Does the arc of history bend toward justice? Or is everything falling apart?
Philosophers of history have long sought a cycle of history. Ibn Khaldun offered one version in his “Muqaddimah” (1377): Islam in its infancy has “desert toughness” — but power leads to sedentary habits and luxury, while extravagance leads to fiscal crisis.