Stephen Mihm, Columnist

‘Risk’ Is a Scary Word. ‘Uncertainty’ Is Terrifying.

Why does today’s world feel uniquely frightening? A century-old economics treatise provides the best explanation. But take heart. It also offers up a silver lining.

Yikes!

Source: Malte Mueller via Getty Images
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Economic forecasting, a fool’s game in the best of times, has become increasingly useless.

A global pandemic, supply chain disruptions and extreme weather events have thrown conventional models into disarray. That’s led commentators to warn of growing “risks” to the global economy.