Tyler Cowen, Columnist

The Coming Shock That Will Transform the U.S. Economy

The rise in telecommuting will redefine jobs, remake industries and revolutionize labor markets.

Adapting to the teleshock, thankyouverymuch.

Photographer: Ethan Miller/Getty Images North America
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The “China shock” was one of the most significant economic events of the last two decades in America. Most of the shock is now over — Chinese imports are competitive with much of the output of U.S. manufacturing, and China has already displaced many U.S. jobs — but there is a new and possibly larger shock on the horizon. Call it “the teleshock.”

The teleshock, or the rise in telecommuting, received a major impetus from the pandemic, when so many Americans were forced to work from home. As it turns out, many prefer this new arrangement. In any case, a fair amount of “work from a distance” is likely to persist, most of all in the technology industry, where the fundamental products are digital. Microsoft, for example, has announced that work from a distance will continue indefinitely.